Exposing PseudoAstronomy

January 5, 2012

2011 Psychic Predictions Roundup: Audience and Professionals on Coast to Coast AM Majorly Fail … Again


Introduction

Last year, in what rapidly became a very well-read post, I wrote about the “psychic” predictions for 2010 by the audience and pros from the Coast to Coast AM late-night radio program. After reviewing nearly 200 predictions, my conclusion was that the audience did no better than the pros, and that both did miserably.

With a record number of Tweets and Facebook postings, how could I not do another analysis for 2011?

I’m a bit behind, but I’ve finally compiled the audience and professional predictions for 2011 that were made on C2C and I have scored them, as well.

So without further delay: The Predictions (PDF)! Please let me know if you find any mistakes in scoring, and I will correct them. If you enjoy this, please be sure to rate it (those stars at the top), leave feedback, and/or link to it from your portal, forum, social media, and/or wikis of choice! It’s the only way I know that it’s worth going through the many days’ of work to compile these.

Before We Get to Details … Scoring

I was a bit stricter this year in terms of what I counted as a “hit.” For example, Major Ed Dames stated, “Buy gold and silver if you can … because those commodities will be worth something.” I counted that as a miss as opposed to too vague. True, gold closed roughly $150 higher at the end of 2011 than it opened. If he has simply said “Gold will be up by the end of the year,” I would give him a hit (if an obvious one). But he said both gold and silver, and silver went down by $2.50 over 2011. On the other hand, he simply said they “will be worth something.” I interpreted that to mean as they will go up. Otherwise, taken at strict face value, this is like saying “Bread is something you can eat.” It’s just a statement of fact.

As with last year, I wrote down what predictions I could pull out of the professionals (more on that later). Many of them, however, were too vague or obvious – I considered – to be scorable. For example, Linda Shurman stated, “People are going to come out of their collective coma” because of the transit of Uranus in Pisces. I considered that too vague to be a hit or a miss. Similarly, Joseph Jacobs stated there would be rough times in Somalia. It does not take a claimed psychic to say there will be rough times in Somalia, so I did not score that.

Coast to Coast AM Audience

Every year, Art Bell would do the predictions show on December 30 and 31 for a “full” eight hours of predictions from the audience. He would have strict rules – one prediction per call, one call per year, nothing political rant-like, no soliciting, and Art numbered them. With Art having unofficially/officially retired (again) after the “Ghost to Ghost” 2010 show, Ian Punnett took over and, well, he wasn’t Art. He didn’t follow any of Art’s rules. This made the predictions a bit more annoying to figure out and write down, but I tried. Sometimes there were two per caller.

In the end, I counted 114 distinct predictions. 6 of them were hits, 99 misses, and 9 were non-scorable as too vague, obvious, or not for 2011. That’s a hit rate of 5.7% (6/(114-9)≈0.057). Very impressively, that’s the same rate as I gave the audience in 2010, so, huzzah for consistency!

Here are some of my favorites:

11. Subterranean tunnels will be found, huge caverns, a “huge city-like thing,” under America or the Russia-Asia continent. “This could lead to the big foot theories being solved.”

23. Within the Bilderburger / Illuminati, there will “be a wild sex slavery factory where blond-haired teenage girls are enslaved to make Illuminati babies they’re trying to create the perfect race. There will be sex slavery.” This will be revealed this year when someone is “caught red-handed with these girls.”

27. Synchronized walking will become very popular, such as in malls, with people walking in formation.

73. There will be a Christian worldwide movement that starts in the US around the time of the Super Bowl. They will force ABC/NBC/CBS/FOX to show Biblical stories.

Coast to Coast AM Professionals

Yes, as a skeptic we always say “alleged” psychic or whatever. I’ve done that enough in the intro and we’ll just go with their titles. Pages 14-25 of the predictions document list the different people that C2C had on for 2011 predictions.

I’ll state that, like the audience ones, these predictions were not as easy to record this year as they were for 2010. Instead of having the first few days of 2011 be devoted to several of these people, George had them scattered throughout the month of January and then did another set in July with three people. So, I recorded what I could.

The people involved were:

  • Jerome Corsi (Claim: General Conspiracist)
  • Joseph Jacobs (Claim: Psychic)
  • Major Ed Dames (Claim: Remote Viewer)
  • Linda Schurman (Claim: Astrology)
  • Starfire Tor (Claim: Psychic -> “Psi Data Downloads”)
  • Glynis McCants (Claim: Numerology)
  • John Hogue (Claim: Nostradamus Interpretor, Psychic)
  • Maureen Hancock (Claim: Psychic and Medium)
  • Angela Moore (Claim: Psychic)

All in all, they made a total of 64 predictions. I counted one hit, 38 misses, and fully 25 that were too vague or obvious to grant a hit or miss to. That’s a hit rate of 2.6% (Joseph Jacobs got the one hit by saying perhaps the obvious “I see maybe a temporary measure as far as lifting the debt ceiling”). That’s somewhat worse than 2010, when I gave them a combined (if generous) hit rate of 11.5%, for getting 6 correct out of 53.

Here are some of my favorites (there were many more from Starfire Tor, but you’ll have to read the document for more):

Joseph Jacobs: We’ll be “getting closer and closer to [UFO] disclosure.”

Major Ed Dames: We’re right at the cusp of a global flu pandemic that WILL happen in 2011.

Starfire Tor: Earthquakes continuing to accelerate due to the time shifts and time wars.

Starfire Tor: “You are going to see an advancement of the whale and people project … . It’s gonna be an agreeable movement around the world where cetaceans – whales and dolphins – who are self-aware are actually non-human people. So the status of them is going to change from ‘animal’ to ‘person,’ therefore people are going to have to stop killing them, and this is going to – every country every people in the world are going to have the opportunity to understand that there is more to intelligent life on the planet than humans.”

Maureen Hancock: “Decent relief” from high gas prices. “I see it coming down to at least a buck a gallon by November” in New England.

Differences Between Lay People and Pros

I brought this up last year, but it definitely bears repeating this year. The audience made 114 predictions and 9 (8%) of them were too vague or obvious to score. The pros made 64, and 25 (39%) of them were too vague or obvious to score.

That is a classic difference between a lay person and a “pro” in the business of telling people what they think the future will bring. Normal people will generally give you unqualified – if seemingly outlandish – statements. Such as, “The Saints will win the Super Bowl.” The pros will give you qualified vagaries, such as, “If the Saints do well and live up to their potential, I see them as possible winners of the Super Bowl since Mars in Virgo is favorable to them.” Okay, that might be a slight exaggeration, but let’s look back on some real examples:

Audience: We’ll see “a Clinton” for VP this year.

Professional: There will be new manufacturing ideas here in the US, opening doors for the unemployed.

Audience: A private research company without federal funding will start to clone people for organ harvesting.

Professional: In response to a question about the Carolinas being hit by a hurricane in the fall: “That is a possibility.”

See? This is also why they can stay in business. I’m fairly strict in my scoring. Someone who paid an alleged psychic $25 for a reading, remembering what the psychic said two weeks later, will be very likely to easily retrodict what the psychic said into a “hit” rather than a miss.

Take John Hogue’s, “Get ready for mother nature to be on the warpath.” I said that’s too vague to score. Let’s say he said that a month before Hurricane Irene hit New York in 2011. Most would count that as a “hit,” and they would not put it in context of Irene being only a Category 3, only doing $10 billion in damage, and Hogue not stating that the year of Hurricane Katrina when it’s much more apt.

No, this is not a rant, and I apologize if it comes off as one. I’m trying to point out why these people are still in business when they are no better than, sometimes worse than, and frequently more vague than the average person making a prediction. And with that in mind, let’s see … Joseph Jacobs charges $90 for 30 minutes, $150 per hour for readings. Maureen Hancock has her own TV show. Ed Dames sells kits on remote viewing, and most of these people sell books and other things. Maybe I should start selling my scoring of their predictions.

Final Thoughts

To continue from the above before transitioning back to the “fun,” yes, there is a substantial “where’s the harm” issue whenever we give these alleged soothsayers the power to make decisions for us based on vague statements. I point that out because it’s important.

But I also want to get back to this because I think they’re funny. I posted on Facebook a few nights ago, “Is it wrong for me to take distinct delight when alleged ‘psychics’ who are well known get things incredibly wrong?” I enjoy shaking my head at all these people being shown to be the shams they are.

And I enjoy the, well, I’ll just say “out there” predictions that make it through. Obama being a reptilian? Whales and dolphins being considered “people”? (Don’t get me wrong, I don’t like whaling and dolphining, etc., but let’s not go crazy.) When you hear some of these, you just have to roll your eyes.

And hopefully when you hear some of these that don’t sound quite as crazy, you’ll pay attention to and notice some of the tricks of the trade, and not spend your hard-earned money on something you could come up with on your own.

 

P.S. I realize that WordPress has a habit of adding Google Ads to posts for those who are not ‘pressers and due to the content of this post, most of the ads are probably for psychic or astrologic readings. I’m looking into the potentiality of migrating my blog to my own server so I won’t have to deal with all of that, but I’m afraid of losing Google rankings and all the link backs that I’ve established over the past ~3.5 years. If someone is knowledgable in how to preserve all those with redirects, etc., please get in contact with me.

P.P.S. Looking forward to 2012, if anyone has found a psychic/numerologist/astrologer/medium/whatever who has put out specific predictions, I’d like to extend beyond C2C for my tallies. Let me know in the comments or by e-mail of these and I’ll look into them.

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14 Comments »

  1. I would take the time to list Meier’s voluminous, stunningly accurate prophetic/predictive info…but you don’t appear to have any readers for these blogs and you remain in deep denial about his track record, authenticity, etc.

    I will suggest thought that you contact Michael Vanderpool, an astrologer who makes very specific predictions, such as referred to here: YouTube video.

    Comment by Michael Horn — January 10, 2012 @ 4:06 pm | Reply

    • As I responded at length to you in the 2010 predictions:

      Unless you would like to point NOW to SPECIFIC predictions Meier has made for 2011 2012, then your information is irrelevant.

      … Further exploration of Meier’s claims … is not relevant to this topic unless you want to do as I said in the preceding paragraph, in which case I will analyze them at the end of 2011 2012.

      I will now warn you at this point that posting yet another long treatise that is not directly on the topic of specific 2011 2012 predictions to this post – or showing where I have erred in my Apophis analysis in one of those posts – as a reply will be your last post to this blog.

      Comment by Stuart Robbins — January 10, 2012 @ 4:15 pm | Reply

  2. At the end of 2010, there were a number of predictions made on a trashy Aussie current affairs programme called ‘A Current Affair’. I didn’t write them down, but one I distinctly remember was that Zsa Zsa Gabor would die. It was a fairly safe bet given that at the time she’d recently had her leg amputated and was around 92 years old and was generally in poor health. Yet she’s still with us today. :-)

    Thanks for the post, I enjoyed it, just as much as the one you did last year.

    Comment by Dave — January 15, 2012 @ 4:36 am | Reply

  3. Hallo everyone,

    This ist what Billy Meier predicts in 2012: http://www.futureofmankind.co.uk/Billy_Meier/Contact_Report_476

    We will see.

    Thank you for the Researches, Herr Professor Robbins.

    Comment by Jennifer D. — January 20, 2012 @ 3:26 am | Reply

  4. In addition to the ones quoted in the post, I have to say my favourite is:

    48. We will have a physical pole shift in early April, late July / early August, or December, and the new North Pole will be off the coast of Brazil.

    if only for the sheer ridiculousness of it… and the extreme catastrophe (a) it would take to cause this and (b) would happen as a result.

    Comment by Phlip — February 12, 2012 @ 11:26 pm | Reply

  5. Ugh, just made the mistake of reading the Billy Meier link. It’s hard going and I had to skim read parts of it. I can’t see too many specifics, it’s mostly vague discussions of climate change and the Mayan prophesies. Apparently the world is not going to end (what a relief, I was so worried), and there’s a lot happening in the climate.
    The only specifics I can pick out are…
    “the ISS may also suffer great damage or may even have a complete (power) failure. Such solar storms may lead to enormous natural catastrophes, and in a worst-case scenario, to a polarity reversal of the Earth’s magnetic field. What has to be said also is that such solar storms are forming up to a climax in an exact rhythm of eleven years, which is a normal occurrence, but in the year 2012 it may happen in an extraordinary magnitude”. (This is a translation from German.)
    He goes on to predict a solar storm of enormous magnitude in 2012. According to Billy, there is an 11 year cycle, and the solar storms are building to a climax, which suggests a solar storm much larger than anything we’ve seen over the last few 11 year cycles.
    The wording is still vague (…ISS may also suffer…), but at least there’s a prediction that can be tested.

    Comment by Julian — February 13, 2012 @ 3:08 am | Reply

    • No psychic or remote viewer could take credit for this prediction coming true, as NASA and any other space/weather institutions have known all along that the 11 yr solar maximum would occur at that time (2012-2013), as well as forecasting that it will be an especially strong solar time period based on a 100-150 year strength cycle on top of the 11 yr cycle (ref the Carrington Effect of 1859 or so that knocked out telegraph systems). These psychics and remote viewers who have a habit of being [profiteering] fear mongers just keep themselves updated by researching events that experts say may be more likely to occur at that given time due to their own research and expertise on any findings and scientific modeling.

      Comment by Karl B. — March 8, 2012 @ 8:56 pm | Reply

  6. #73 should be a hit/miss, “There will be a Christian worldwide movement that starts in the US around
    the time of the Super Bowl. They will force ABC/NBC/CBS/FOX to show
    Biblical stories.”

    Isn’t this about the time Tebowing started or at least became somewhat of a phenomena?? The miss would be that the Networks weren’t forced to show bible stories (any more than usual).

    Comment by John — February 13, 2012 @ 7:28 am | Reply

    • I don’t know if that counts as a Christian Worldwide Movement really … or even as much of a phenomena really, I had to google it after reading the above comment to find out what it was :)

      So has the Super Bowl been already? Was there any sign of biblical stories being shown on or around that time?

      Comment by Chris — February 13, 2012 @ 8:45 pm | Reply

      • You may be correct, I doubt its a “worldwide” movement, its a movement of sorts that started in the USA with many Christians copying Tim Tebow’s “Pray To Jesus” pose, also known as Tebowing. I did mention that the networks didn’t start playing bible stories.

        Comment by John — February 14, 2012 @ 6:40 am

  7. Reblogged this on Evil Edison and commented:
    Rolling dice…

    Comment by Evil Edison — February 13, 2012 @ 11:30 am | Reply

  8. Read over Meier’s predictions for 2012. His first, about no disaster happening on December 21, would receive a “status quo” from Dr. Robbins, so therefore not scored at all. His next, about solar storms (X-rays interacting with our magnetosphere? Really? They do that every day!) causing major problems for the ISS, satellites, power stations, acid rain, and so on. Nothing out of the ordinary, except the Solar polar shift is being delayed until next year or maybe even 2014, because our Sun is being stubborn about hitting the high point in its cycle.

    Oh, and a magnetic polar shift, which didn’t change more than normal for the course of a year. North magnetic pole near Brazil? lol

    How has climate change on Earth affected the rest of our Solar System so far? From everything I’ve heard, seen, or read: not at all. How could it possibly affect anything in the future? The only way that I could see an effect on the rest of the stuff floating around Sol would be for the Earth to get knocked out of its orbit. That would affect the climate for certain, and the tidal and/or gravity effects would be felt by other bodies. Maybe that “dark and huge space wanderer that is threatening from the fringe of our solar system” might be it? No one seems to be willing to say for certain where Nibiru/Wormwood/Nemesis/X is actually located. Come on, if you’ve got inside information, give us coordinates!

    If any of the above do happen, Meier will take credit. If they don’t happen, he can back pedal by claiming he said, “…they might…” or “…they may…” Useless for predicting anything, if he always takes this approach. Especially if he keeps predicting the same stuff every year. He might turn out to be right, just by pure chance.

    Comment by Rick K. — December 26, 2012 @ 8:09 pm | Reply

    • Do you have a link for this? I can put it in my round-up for 2012.

      Comment by Stuart Robbins — December 26, 2012 @ 8:11 pm | Reply

  9. [...] a tradition that I started in 2010 and continued in 2011, I am posting a “psychic roundup” to celebrate the end of one Julian calendar year and [...]

    Pingback by 2012 Psychic Predictions Roundup: Laypeople and Professionals Both Continue to Fail « Exposing PseudoAstronomy — December 29, 2012 @ 4:01 pm | Reply


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